Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.020317 0.021909 0.023567 0.025423 0.027445 0.029581 0.032012
2025-11-16 0.017403 0.019647 0.022105 0.025003 0.028333 0.032049 0.036521
2025-11-23 0.015656 0.018283 0.021272 0.024936 0.029321 0.034421 0.040831
2025-11-30 0.014291 0.017149 0.020500 0.024738 0.029983 0.036296 0.044521
2025-12-07 0.013236 0.016254 0.019885 0.024605 0.030617 0.038070 0.048092
2025-12-14 0.012329 0.015449 0.019291 0.024405 0.031087 0.039595 0.051365
2025-12-21 0.011662 0.014886 0.018939 0.024453 0.031830 0.041458 0.055136
2025-12-28 0.011001 0.014278 0.018476 0.024303 0.032268 0.042902 0.058384
2026-01-04 0.010460 0.013788 0.018127 0.024263 0.032824 0.044500 0.061900
2026-01-11 0.010025 0.013410 0.017896 0.024355 0.033542 0.046332 0.065825
2026-01-18 0.009610 0.013032 0.017639 0.024383 0.034153 0.048022 0.069615
2026-01-25 0.009233 0.012684 0.017399 0.024412 0.034749 0.049700 0.073460
2026-02-01 0.008708 0.012119 0.016848 0.023996 0.034718 0.050521 0.076167
2026-02-08 0.008218 0.011581 0.016312 0.023574 0.034658 0.051298 0.078866
2026-02-15 0.007872 0.011233 0.016029 0.023507 0.035119 0.052880 0.082925
2026-02-22 0.007520 0.010857 0.015684 0.023321 0.035376 0.054143 0.086529
2026-03-01 0.007212 0.010530 0.015393 0.023197 0.035711 0.055535 0.090417
2026-03-08 0.006909 0.010197 0.015075 0.023009 0.035928 0.056733 0.094035
2026-03-15 0.006686 0.009974 0.014912 0.023054 0.036515 0.058560 0.098844
2026-03-22 0.006432 0.009692 0.014644 0.022914 0.036783 0.059857 0.102789
2026-03-29 0.006219 0.009463 0.014447 0.022877 0.037216 0.061448 0.107352
2026-04-05 0.006046 0.009290 0.014330 0.022963 0.037856 0.063423 0.112741
2026-04-12 0.005871 0.009104 0.014184 0.022989 0.038390 0.065233 0.117929